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2022 World Cup Predictions

Leading up to the Qatar 2022 World Cup, there were many predictions made about which team would win the tournament. Previous World Cup predictions have generally been not accurate, which is not unexpected for the highly competitive sport of football.

World Cup predictions use various methods, such as analyzing bookmaker odds, using recent results and statistics, and player and team rankings.



Table of 2022 Predictions

The predicted winner was almost unanimously Brazil, who were unexpectedly defeated in by Croatia in the quarter finals. The eventual winner, Argentina, were predicted to finish third or fourth by a couple of models, defeating France who were more fancied.

Prediction Model First Second Third Fourth
FIFA rankings (23 June 2022) Brazil Belgium Argentina France
FiveThirtyEight (16 Nov) Brazil (22%) Spain (11%) France (9%) Argentina (8%)
The Analyst (15 June 2022) France (18%) Brazil (16%) Spain (12%) England (8%)
Turing AI Model (18 Nov 2022) Brazil (25%) Belgium (19%) Argentina (13%) France (11%)
Las Vegas Superbook (2018) Brazil (6-1) France (7-1) Germany (7-1) Spain (8-1)
Skybet (April 2022) Brazil (11-2) France (6-1) England (13-2) Spain (7-1)
Smarkets (5 Aug 2022) Brazil (6.4-1) France (7.6-1) England (8-1) Argentina (9.2-1)
Oddschecker (5 Aug 2022) Brazil (4.3-1) France (6.5-1) England (8-1) Argentina (8-1)

Prediction References



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